RimbunNEWS - Impact of Election 2014 to Job Market
19 Mar 2014 / / News
“Indonesia will see their lesgislative election in 9 April 2014 with currently 12 parties pass the requirements set by General Election Commission (KPU) and presidential election in July 2014.”
12 parties that would rally in the legislative election: (excluding 3 Aceh Parties)
|No||Politcal Party Name||Presidential Candidate or Probable Candidate||
Prediction in the legislative election
|1||PDIP (Partai Demokasi Indonesia Perjuangan)||Probable Candidate: Jokowi Widodo (current Jakarta Governor)||Strong|
|2||Golkar (Partai Golongan Karya)||Presidential Candidate: Aburizal Bakrie||Strong|
|3||PD (Partai Demokrat)||Probable Candidate: Edhi Baskoro Yudhoyono or Gita Wirjayawn||Medium (weaker support due to corruption problems)|
|4||Gerindra (Partai Gerakan Indonesia)||Presidential Candidate: Prabowo Subianto||Strong|
|5||Hanura (Partai Hati Nurani Rakyat)||Presidential Candidate: Wiranto - Vice President: Hary Tanoesoedibjo||Medium|
|6||Nasdem (Partai Nasdem)||Not yet announce||Medium|
|7||PKPI (Partai Keadilan dan Persatuan Indonesia)||Not yet announce||Weak|
|8||PAN (Partai amanat Nasional)||Hatta Rajasa||Weak|
|9||PKB (Partai Kebangkitan Nasional)||Not yet announce||Weak|
|10||PPP (Partai Persatuan Pembangunan)||Presidential Candidate: Suryadharma Ali||Weak|
|11||PKS (Partai Keadilan Sejahtera)||Not yet announce||Weak|
|12||PBB (Partai Bulan Bintang)||Presidential Candidate: Yusril Ihza Mahendra||Weak|
Indonesia has raised the bar for participating in elections, Based on the Law No. 42 of 2008, nominations of candidates for presidential election may only be made by a party (or coalition of parties) which as at least 20% of the seats in the national Parliament (DPR).
With this regulation, we predicted that the presidential candidates nominated are most probably from strong Parties such as PDIP, Golkar, PD and Gerindra. These might leave us with:
- Probable Candidate Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra)
- Probable Candidate: Edhie Baskoro Yudhoyono (PD), Gita Wirjawan (PD)
- Probable Candidate : Aburizal Bakrie (Golkar)
- Probable Candidate: Jokowi Widodo (PDIP)
We are quite confident that Indonesia will remain stable politically this year, eventhough there are growing fears that the level of political corruption might soar.
However, in the economic forefront, the positive effects of elections that will usually boost consumer spending might be outweighted by the effect of “wait and see” stance by foreign investors as they wait for the new president.
This will in turn impact the job market, as we would see slower recruitment and if all is well a boost of more recruitment in the job market for the year 2015.
Debby Lim (email@example.com)